Pre-tourney Rankings
Western Athletic
2016-17


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
90 New Mexico St. 100.0%   13   25 - 5 11 - 3 25 - 5 11 - 3 +4.9      +4.5 62 +0.4 164 65.7 231 +6.9 77 +3.8 3
122 Cal St. Bakersfield 0.0%   19 - 9 12 - 2 19 - 9 12 - 2 +2.4      -4.4 282 +6.8 33 62.6 299 +3.0 116 +7.4 1
161 Grand Canyon 0.0%   20 - 9 11 - 3 20 - 9 11 - 3 +0.2      -2.5 234 +2.7 91 68.9 141 +2.5 117 +4.7 2
190 Utah Valley 0.0%   12 - 16 6 - 8 12 - 16 6 - 8 -1.3      -3.2 251 +1.8 110 78.6 14 -3.9 227 -5.9 5
224 UMKC 0.0%   14 - 16 8 - 6 14 - 16 8 - 6 -4.0      -0.5 183 -3.5 265 71.6 83 -2.6 208 -1.2 4
267 Seattle 0.0%   10 - 17 5 - 9 10 - 17 5 - 9 -6.5      -6.7 324 +0.2 171 67.8 174 -7.2 271 -6.7 6
310 UT Rio Grande Valley 0.0%   7 - 22 2 - 12 7 - 22 2 - 12 -9.8      -3.3 253 -6.6 325 80.4 7 -10.5 316 -14.8 7
339 Chicago St. 0.0%   3 - 26 1 - 13 3 - 26 1 - 13 -14.8      -9.8 344 -5.0 301 66.9 207 -13.0 333 -17.7 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
New Mexico St. 2.0 100.0
Cal St. Bakersfield 1.0 100.0
Grand Canyon 2.0 100.0
Utah Valley 5.0 100.0
UMKC 4.0 100.0
Seattle 6.0 100.0
UT Rio Grande Valley 7.0 100.0
Chicago St. 8.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
New Mexico St. 11 - 3 100.0
Cal St. Bakersfield 12 - 2 100.0
Grand Canyon 11 - 3 100.0
Utah Valley 6 - 8 100.0
UMKC 8 - 6 100.0
Seattle 5 - 9 100.0
UT Rio Grande Valley 2 - 12 100.0
Chicago St. 1 - 13 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
New Mexico St.
Cal St. Bakersfield 100.0% 100.0
Grand Canyon
Utah Valley
UMKC
Seattle
UT Rio Grande Valley
Chicago St.


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
New Mexico St. 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13   12.0 69.8 18.2
Cal St. Bakersfield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Grand Canyon 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Utah Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UMKC 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Seattle 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UT Rio Grande Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Chicago St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
New Mexico St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 10.4% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cal St. Bakersfield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Grand Canyon 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Utah Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UMKC 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Seattle 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UT Rio Grande Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chicago St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 10.4% 0.1 89.7 10.4
Sweet Sixteen 1.6% 0.0 98.4 1.6
Elite Eight 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0